Tuesday, January 20, 2009

The Philippine peso, from 1950 to 2009

A 60-year history of the Philippine peso packed into one happy graph:

What we have here is a chart showing the historical exchange rate of the Philippine Peso against the US Dollar from 1950 to 2009. (Data from 1950 to 1997 from Penn World Tables; Data from 1997 onwards from Oanda, using exchange rates on January 1 of each year)

It's just really weird that I haven't seen a graph like this available anywhere else on the internet, because there's so much that can be learned from it. Look at how all the significant movements in the graph can be traced to events in Philippine history (which is, looking back at it, composed almost entirely of bad news):
  • 1961: President Diosdado Macapagal allows the peso to float on the free currency exchange market, unpegging it from the US dollar to stimulate economic development. Its value sinks from P2 to P3.7 to the dollar.
  • 1970: I can only assume this is due to the First Quarter Storm, where a series of heavy demonstrations and protests and marches take their toll on the country. The value of the peso slips from P4 to P6 to the dollar.
  • 1983: Ninoy Aquino assassinated, and Marcos' shit hits the fan. The country rapidly deteriorates, culminating in the EDSA Revolution. Value of the peso dives from P8 to 20 to the dollar over a few years.
  • 1989: A series of ugly coup attempts threatens the Aquino administration, including a bloodbath in January 1989. Peso descends from P21 to P27 to the dollar over two years.
  • 1997: The Asian Financial Crisis occurs, and I can't understand it no matter how many times I check Wikipedia, but the peso crashes from P26 to P41 to the dollar in a single frickin' year.
  • 2000: Economic mismanagement and political instability during the Estrada administration, plus charges or corruption leading to an impeachment trial. Peso nosedives from P40 to P50 to the dollar.
And finally there's 2005 to the present, the only time in history that the Philippine peso has significantly strengthened in value, albeit with a sharp rebound in 2008. I'm at a loss to attribute this to any single event, but history has shown that movements of that scale do not happen without a reason.

56 comments:

  1. A stock trader told me something, and I don't know if he was trying to impress those of us in the room at the time, but he told us that the stock market often effectively predicted the short-term future. Those dips and spikes, he said, would actually start shortly before the actual bad news happened or became evident. This is apparently because the people who instigate the events have their own interests in the stock market, and so pull out as necessary.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dollar fell worldwide 1 time and a kinos administration to credit for the pesos rise and value but it was the entire world

      Delete
  2. For the dip during the Asian Financial Crisis, check out the newspaper archives. If I recall correctly, the drop was done partly to save the stock market(?)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Devalue currency to save the stock market? How... how does the logic work itself out here? Actually, spare me the explanation, it would just get me more confused. :-S

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. you'll have more efficient economy if you have a floating/flexible peso. I don't know yet why.but that's the truth :)

      Delete
    2. the chart shows that in the 70s to the early 80s, the us dollar to peso rate was almost constant and steady . . . not until 1983 when ninoy was assassinated that usd rate had become 13-14. In 1986, if i could still well remember, usd was about 14-16 a dollar. In the third quarter of 1987, the usd went up to php 20. . . from then on . . . . it's all devaluation

      Delete
    3. devaluating a currency allows foreign investors to buy more stocks before a crisis can began can either prevent the looming crisis or have it a minimal effect sadly businessmen are also in watch whether a crisis is looming or not so it was too late to recover

      Delete
    4. mike ano apilido mo, kailangan lang sa critique paper. salamat

      Delete
    5. It might look good on paper as people take advantage of the apparent bargains of Phil stuff-its bogus-Remember the US Dollar has been playing these short- sighted policies, too-your labour becomes worth less as does your wealth- and you cant escape it

      Delete
    6. A stock market fall country spins more than it has coming in when a recession occurs when people buy more than they sell all these things can drive down the value of a currency a long with war civil war violence nationwide scale

      Delete
  4. A quick response to that question: devaluing the currency can boost share prices as exporters get a boost by virtue of the goods they are selling being cheaper to foreign buyers. Witness UK market when Britain fell out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism in early nineties (as I recall).

    ReplyDelete
  5. Awesome graph. Exactly what I needed. :)

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thanks for posting this with a graph. A big help for my homework. :)

    Philippine Peso Exchange Rate

    ReplyDelete
  7. can you provide me the currency (php to US dollar) before 1940? maybe about 1900 to 1950?? it would really be a big help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Philippines is richer than us but i thik was 50 cents before 1940s

      Delete
  8. @aa find it out yourself

    ReplyDelete
  9. whoah this blog is great i like studying your articles. Stay up
    the great work! You understand, a lot of people are searching around for this information, you could aid them greatly.
    Also visit my webpage ... electronic cigarette wholesale

    ReplyDelete
  10. Pretty! This was a really wonderful article. Many thanks for supplying this
    info.
    my web site :: Buy Targeted Facebook Likes

    ReplyDelete
  11. My brother recommended I might like this
    web site. He was entirely right. This post
    truly made my day. You cann't imagine just how much time I had spent for this info! Thanks!
    Feel free to surf my blog ... lanautica

    ReplyDelete
  12. From 2 to 50 in 59 years calculates out to be 5.61% per year - not so dramatic when compared to worldwide inflation rates!

    ReplyDelete
  13. Excellent way of explaining, and fastidious post to obtain facts regarding my
    presentation topic, which i am going to present in
    institution of higher education.
    Here is my webpage - Lexington Law

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hello there! This is my 1st comment here so I just wanted to give a quick shout out and
    say I really enjoy reading through your posts. Can you
    suggest any other blogs/websites/forums that go over the same subjects?
    Thanks a lot!
    Look into my web-site - backup client server

    ReplyDelete
  15. Hi! Quick question that's entirely off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My weblog looks weird when viewing from my iphone. I'm trying to find a
    theme or plugin that might be able to correct this problem.

    If you have any recommendations, please share. Cheers!

    Here is my page; BMW Z4 Windscreen

    ReplyDelete
  16. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Un exceptionnellement gentil blog, et une conception fine il étincelles Simplicité algorithme complexe encore du filet. Merci.Et c'est mon site robinetshop.com sur les robinets d'eau, bienvenue à visiter à tout moment.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Not really accurate data but if we analyzed this data, a group of persons with hidden motives against in some past governments were the cause of Philippine peso devaluations and not the government of the said era. Like for example, during Marcos time the peso was quite stable but due to CPP NPA activities in early 70's who want to topple down the government affects the peso conditions, same in 1983 when Ninoy Aquino was assassinated by someone who want destabilized the Marcos government. But I'll give my credit to Marcos Administration for keeping the peso strong in spite of the challenges compared to his successors.Same with Estrada, the peso going strong at the start of his administration but it falls when a conspiracy happened by a group of ambitious politicians and military to oust him. In Cory's time, a series coup attempt also affects the peso but the fast devaluation continues in early 90's even though without destruction in the government, same with Ramos. Maybe we can say, it depends to the person who governed it, same to other administrations that's why the peso falls.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It has nothing to do with your conspiracy theories idiot. Take a few proper global economics courses and stop drinking that Marco Kool-Aid. Stupid dumbass!

      Delete
    2. It has nothing to do with your conspiracy theories idiot. Take a few proper global economics courses and stop drinking that Marco Kool-Aid. Stupid dumbass!

      Delete
    3. It has nothing to do with your conspiracy theories idiot. Take a few proper global economics courses and stop drinking that Marco Kool-Aid. Stupid dumbass!

      Delete
    4. Did the Marcoses hand over you some penny from their Swiss Bank account to generate some cover up statement? His dictatorship was the cause of economic downfall of the Philippines while he and his family acquired billion worth of I'll gotten wealth. How much was the salary of a president during his era for him to earn those kind of figure?

      Delete
    5. 22 years ago retiring here was definitely influenced by the value of the peso going down giving Americans retired a great value

      Delete
    6. Currently the US dollars climbing worldwide not just in the Philippines the euro is basically under 1-1 already so it's not totally on the Philippines that this rise is happening and could tone down if the Philippines could get it spending and it's dept, deficits toned down. 1 or 2 years, maybe devaluating. Then, it will be time to recover, or not and natural resources may have power to help greatly if, like Norway, government and citizens share,not just corporations. We will see.

      Delete
  19. Robinetterie - Découvrez toutes les collections Jacob Delafon. Pour votre salle de bain et votre cuisine, trouvez le robinet adapté grace à Jacob Delafon.http://www.robinetso.fr/8-robinet-bain

    ReplyDelete
  20. Before Marcos was President, it was 3 pesos equals 1 dollar..when Marcos became President..it was 4 pesos equals 1 dollar when he started then it fell to 20 pesos equals 1 dollar at the end part of his term..my source is credible..before believing the comments here, please research first ok.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. don't just look at the figures, look at the events happening behind it. thank you you need to ask yourself why? I think you are just focused of Marcos but never the reasons

      Delete
    2. Marvz, thanks! It is very clear on your graph with series of events. Any coup or destabilization plot weakened the value of peso over dollar. Any form of political turmoil, stabilization, or coup are enemies of economic growth and phl currency

      Delete
    3. The downfall of the philippines economic is not solely based on Marcos debt but also all these demonstration that lead to devaluation of Philippines peso. That is including those Communists or any group who wants to destabilize the government. Even after Marcos death and Philippines was ruled by Ramos, Estrada, Arroyo - any political turmoil and destabilization further decreased Philippines currency

      Delete
  21. Variety http://www.faucetsmarket.com/bathroom-accessory-c-4.html everywhere, each one is addictive, and often people do not know how to choose. Which is a good Shower faucet? But we can start with the material from the bathtub, Pull down kitchen faucet different materials are very different

    ReplyDelete
  22. please... it's about time to update the graph and the figures and everything... today we are almost 1:50. your post on this is really interesting.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Yes, your graph is the only one I could find on the net and I searched for a long time. Thank you for the information and your post.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Anyone knows the exchange rate of US Dollar to Philippine peso in 1995?

    ReplyDelete
  25. I love the way you write and share your niche! Very interesting and different! Keep it coming!
    Robinets de Lavabo

    ReplyDelete
  26. What are the reasons for an abrupt change of exchange rate of currency?

    ReplyDelete
  27. This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I love seeing blog that understand the value of providing a quality resource for free.
    Küchenarmaturen

    ReplyDelete
  28. The graph was indeed very helpful. Now 2018 it's 52+ pesos.
    Www.pisceanrat.blogspot.com

    ReplyDelete
  29. Blah blah blah we need to annihilate entire Filipino fucking politicians. These motherfuckers are the true culprit why the Philippines remains the sick man in asia. We need to embrace and adopt the US CONSTITUTION and be a statehood of the United States of America. That will straighten out all these mickey mouse Filipino politicians . They are all sefish pricks and doesnt give a flying fuck about its own citizens. Sad to say the japs that invaded our country in the 1940s are doing good inspite the US bombing them to end the war. They should've done more to the slopes as payback for the poor pinoys who perished in that war... AGAIN!! Fuck these mickey mouse pinoy politicians and embrace the US constitution is the only way to be the most powerful asian country. We'd even beat the damn chinese who knows nothing but steal US technologies to their advantage only.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Thailand blamed Soros for instigating the Asian Financial Crisis. I remember reading about this in Asiaweek, I think? At that time I was in my late teens/early 20s and I didn't know who Soros was. This was like a decade before I even heard of the term "Illuminati".

    ReplyDelete
  31. Profit primarily prime quality items -- you can understand them all within: convert $29.99

    ReplyDelete
  32. You ought to basically fantastic not to mention solid advice, which means notice: cryptocurrency live ticker

    ReplyDelete
  33. The US dollar is one of the most predominant hold monetary forms on the planet and is likewise the fundamental delicate for a few different nations or districts outside the United States, buy us dollar onlineincluding the Caribbean, Ecuador and El Salvador.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Excellent read, Positive site, where did u come up with the information on this posting?I have read a few of the articles on your website now, and I really like your style. Thanks a million and please keep up the effective work. compra cupo en dolares

    ReplyDelete